Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.360628 0.407468 0.459635 0.522327 0.595993 0.680262 0.784600
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.297599 0.361892 0.440463 0.544814 0.681690 0.857862 1.106347
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.255218 0.326731 0.420094 0.553558 0.743939 1.012998 1.435836
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.221177 0.294219 0.394453 0.546137 0.777441 1.130410 1.738696
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.194365 0.266575 0.369725 0.533296 0.797099 1.227178 2.031750
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.176768 0.249163 0.356391 0.533889 0.835568 1.359570 2.422657
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.165478 0.239328 0.352534 0.547844 0.897338 1.544280 2.971781
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.153733 0.227254 0.343322 0.550895 0.939625 1.701763 3.520157
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.140724 0.211734 0.326551 0.538056 0.949507 1.796679 3.961088
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.134026 0.205644 0.324576 0.551096 1.011363 2.014744 4.797374
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.126625 0.197615 0.318274 0.554951 1.054962 2.203298 5.643039
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.118072 0.186839 0.305974 0.545440 1.068179 2.323399 6.346406
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.110662 0.177593 0.295827 0.539525 1.089938 2.475367 7.253866
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.107831 0.176173 0.299934 0.563437 1.185737 2.853821 9.219792
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.103395 0.171452 0.297286 0.572647 1.248309 3.161995 11.166915
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.097447 0.163465 0.287524 0.564924 1.266668 3.345071 12.732439
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.091450 0.154934 0.275910 0.551537 1.267711 3.475010 14.169555
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.087420 0.149819 0.270676 0.552155 1.307095 3.748034 16.647949
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.085051 0.147694 0.271321 0.566708 1.389082 4.205264 20.783944
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.081803 0.143608 0.267493 0.569890 1.438793 4.565406 24.836360
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.077374 0.136889 0.257511 0.556501 1.435516 4.715990 27.600629
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.075505 0.135155 0.258105 0.570099 1.520383 5.275858 34.785247
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.072993 0.131940 0.255165 0.574120 1.575409 5.734705 42.138884